Professor who correctly predicted presidential elections shares '13 keys to the White House' | Cuomo

For perspective on the polls, George HW Bush should’ve lost his first election. And Trump should’ve lost in 2016. Polls miss the mark a lot

Professor Lichtman is a great professor and an outstanding scholar. I still value the short time that I studied and took his classes. He is not only brilliant but kind and generous with his students. We should all have a professor like that at one time in our life.

They literally changed the definition of recession

Allan lichtman is a smart man & he was right about 2000 the us supreme court was wrong

Just drove by a gas station on the way to the grocery store...The only two keys nobody can deny.

He also. Predicted that there was no red wave comingin 2022

14th key is dementia.

Thank you professor 🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽🇺🇸👌💙🤍🤍🤍👍🏻👌❤️

Much of the electorate is too ignorant to know what his "keys" mean. They don't know if they're up or down.

Ok I'll admit his keys have merit, but he is way out of touch for how the keys apply to biden.

Well I’m thinking his little system is about to shit the bed.

Did he make a prediction? I only heard how he qualifies his predictions, not what his actual prediction is.

In case it wasn't clear... "Why hasn't Biden lost this key?" Key 5: Short Term Economy - This depends strictly on whether or not a recession is declared during the campaign. There is no recession so this key is locked for the incumbent. Key 6: Long Term Economy - This key is determined by real GDP growth during the election year. For this key to be toppled there has to be two full quarters of negative growth. Due to being only five months from the election, there is simply not enough time for two full quarters to pass -- and growth is consistently positive -- so it is impossible for this key to go against the incumbent this year. It is locked. Key 7: Policy Change - The criteria for this key does not require the policy change to be popular. Is this administration's policy different from the last? Yes. Key won, end of story. It is locked for the incumbent. Key 9: Scandal - Scandal must have bipartisan recognition and must touch directly on the president. Republicans have been trying to fabricate a scandal on Joe Biden for four years, going back to before he was even elected. They are not likely to find anything in the time remaining. Hunter Biden has bipartisan recognition, but he is not the president. Robert Hur's report on Joe Biden touches directly on the president, but it does not have bipartisan recognition. Nothing we hear as a scandal in the news satisfies the criteria. This key is locked for the incumbent. What Lichtman didn't tell us in this short time was that for the incumbent to win, they must secure eight keys. Right now, they have secured seven -- the incumbent requires only one more key to lock in their favor to predict their victory. The 13 Keys are not an invention created by Lichtman. They are a discovery of defining factors and principles based off of science. Stability favors the incumbent while instability favors the challenger. They were not decided by any one person -- this is a scientific measure. Many people also do not know that not only has the system accurately predicted every election since 1984, but it makes accurate calls when applied all the way back to 1860. These principles have been the deciding factors for over 160 years, not just 40 years.

He forgot the dementia key.

how does cuomo have a job?

someone needs to ask for his prediction after the debate last night when biden went brain dead and was staring into the black clouds....

So, what do the keys say after today's Presidential Debate? I would think that at least one key (Incumbent Charisma) is totally lost.

Who did he pick???

These keys prove how bad are voters are that a single Democrat could ever win

This is ridiculously stupid. Most of the key are subjective. It also doesn't count on 1 key being extremely bad. He's just gotten lucky lately, not a real system