Ukrainian Kursk-Offensive Day 4: Captured Tanks and Prisoners

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Thanks for the comprehensive, no-bullshit coverage.

The US said Ukraine can’t fire American weapons from Ukraine into Russia. They said nothing about taking US weapons into Russia and firing them inside Russia.

Ukraine has developed its own Ukrainian made long range missle.

You're absolutely right that we can only speculate on Ukraines goals with this offensive. I wouldn't discount the shortening of the lines here with a push north and east towards Rylsk. This makes sense long term as something they may be able to hold with the river and high ground. This would force Russia to act with either conscripts, which wouldn't be politically popular back home or move some forces from Ukraine. I believe moving the Russian forces back from Ukraine is the ultimate goal. Shortening your own defensive lines are critical too, to help pay for some of the losses being taken. That being said the confusion caused to the Russians by this is both great for moral on the Ukrainian side and unsatisfying to the enemy. Any damage you can cause behind enemy lines with relatively little risk as of now will add up. By moving too quickly towards Rylsk may show your goal to all. (in Ukrainian commands minds) Keep them guessing about nuclear power plants, as they have been defensively responding to. It would be a huge mistake to attempt to take it, but not to keep them guessing by making a feint! POW's, negotiating points, moral are all important. You mention all of these points and it's a great video. Some of the others here on YT, including Sky News are reporting many more Ukrainian forces being used here in Russia as I know your aware of. However, I believe your numbers are more accurate.

Thank you. Interesting times.

The irony is that NATO protected Russia by putting restrictions on the use of weapons before. Now Ukraine can act like it is in selfdefense finally.

Kursk NPP is offline. It fed both Kursk and Belgorod. Sudzha is fully captured now with geolocations to the East of it. Anyone still in Sudzha is in operational encirclement if not outright encirclement at this point. Sudzha is a railway hug and electric grid hub for the whole region. Ukraine's adventure has already been incredibly fruitful. The maps you show are quite conservative. There is a photo just now of DRGs are operating 10km from Kursk city.

Thanks, Torsten.

yah Russian conscripts are even worse in quality than the cannon fodder Storm Z units since the conscripts have ZERO combat experience and they are facing a few brigades of battle hardened veteran well trained and led and well motivated Ukrainian troops with good air and artillery support local air superiority as well as large numbers of NATO tanks and APCs.

In my view, the most important thing about the whole development is that Ukraine has started to act again. In recent months, they have allowed the Russians to force them to decide where and how to fight. I believe that Ukraine is much stronger when it is on the move than when it is fighting a war of position against the Russians. I also think it is an important signal that they are far from being defeated. Both for their own population, the friendly states and Russia. In any case, it will be difficult for Putin to sell this domestically as a signal of strength or that he is in control.

You are missing the "prize". The powerplant. The don't need to capture, occupy and hold it. Just force it to shut down. Very much like what the Russians did to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Holdiing back the main body of their forces is simply good battle management. The gloves are off. (Die Handschuhe sind ausgezogen. ) It is a reference to "bare nuckle boxing" in the US.

Reasons - even if it doesn't achieve anything else it makes Putin look weak in the eyes of the population and stresses the command structure. Bonus is the POWs look like they're ethnic Russians rather than poor residents of the Republics, maybe that'll cause some grief in Moscow and St. Petersburg.

Thanks. On reflection Torsten, do you think your first post on this Kursk offensive was a little more negative than it should have been?

the town of Sudzha is actually 8 hours driving time to Moscow , the Ukrainians are closer to Moscow than Prigozhin has ever been since Rostov on Don the starting point of the 2023 Prigozhin march to Moscow was 14 hours by car . So the Ukrainians can capture Moscow hahah

The Kursk region is a major logistical hub. Maintaining control of the area would be extremely valuable too Ukraine's objectives. It is also traditionally Ukrainian land stolen by the USSR.

Ďakujeme.

My guess is considering the three axis of advance that Ukraine is headed for the NPP by sevreing the highway in the east and west directions.. This plant powers some 45% of Russian steel production with additional power supplying related supply chain operations and logistics. Also 9.5 % of meat production, sugar and other raw materials. Capture of this plant would be a major card to play in future peace negotiations.

Outstanding coverage as always

Am i the only one who remembers all those many talks about a russian offensive in Sumy? The british MoD warned every day from that for months. That means, this not only could be a pre-emptive strike, but there are also a lot of forces dedicated for that russian Sumy offensive and they are somewhere in the Kursk region.