How a French Intervention in Ukraine Would Work
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Published 2024-03-22
On February 26, 2024, French President Emmanuel Macron told reporters that "nothing can be ruled out" in terms of placing French troops on the ground in Ukraine. How would that work? Under what circumstances might it happen? And would it trigger a broader conflict with NATO? This video explores what might be the next major twist in Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
0:00 France Mulls Sending Troops into Ukraine
1:23 France's Security Concerns
4:49 France's Role in the Russia-Ukraine War Thus Far
8:57 The Plausibility of a French Intervention
11:04 Deploying a Tripwire
16:05 Active Internvetion
17:21 Will It Trigger Article 5?
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All Comments (21)
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The croissant of consequences rarely comes buttered
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"Talk is cheap." That sums up the inherent disadvantage of civility vs jungle rules in actual war.
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That was a helpful video to understand what is happening and the possibilities for the future. These are precarious times. Lastly, I enjoy your humor. It helps to lighten the serious nature of the topic. 👏🏼👍🏼
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Scary thing is, i dont think anyone really knows whats going to happen. No one is in control of the situation. Theyre all trying to second-guess and third-guess each other, hoping that they will eventually come out on top. We're all just going to have to wait and see what happens, bcause almost anything can happen at any time.
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"Poland is warmer to the idea". Poland: "Do it. Do it! DO IT! DOITDOITDOITDOITDOIT!!!!"
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Article 5 couldn’t be invoked because France willingly intervened in Ukraine. Same for Poland or Baltic troops. Russia would have to attack those countries directly for that to happen. Similar to what happened after 9/11. It wasn’t triggered in Vietnam, or Korea or in any of the other interventions that the United States was involved in. Basically what I am saying is that if France intervenes directly, unless Russia attacks French soil or Baltic soil directly NATO wouldn’t be involved. NATO would definitely be on an even higher alert.
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Ok, time to subscribe, much obliged
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Thanks William
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If France wants to send troops to Ukraine, let em. If Poland wants to, let em. Article 5 isn't triggered when a NATO country, or even a coalition of NATO countries goes on the offensive.
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If you France around, you may get the baguette.
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Great information & analysis!
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Fantastic point about broadly worded founding documents - How many authors can confidently anticipate how their work will be applied/interpreted in the future?
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12:02 “trip wire force” what a nice way to describe sacrificial cannon fodder.
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"or if you're hungary, just do nothing." 🤣
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@17:55 LOVE the references to SUPER MARIO 64. Such nostalgia. Love that game
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This video reminded me of our wedding in Ouistreham, France to a French woman. The mayor who was officiating kept saying article this or article that, some of the numbers I recognised, but the rest remained Double Duch to me, only when the mayor looked towards me I knew it was my prompt to utter the word “Oui”
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Having ally troops on Ukraine soil bordering Belarus could free up the tens of thousand ukrainian troops actually stuck there and allow them to fight on the east front.
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William Spaniel Thanks for posting this video.
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Good reporting. Thank you. Go Democracy.
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Article 6: “For the purpose of Article 5, an armed attack on one or more of the Parties is deemed to include an armed attack: on the territory of any of the Parties in Europe or North America…” France intervening in Ukraine would NOT trigger Article 5, no more than the US interventions in Vietnam or Iraq did.